How Your Understanding of Market Efficiency Determines Stock Performance - and Why Behavioral Bias Matters

Authors

  • Risna Wijayanti Department of Management, Brawijaya University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47747/fmiic.vi2.2959

Abstract

Capital market efficiency is an important factor in stock trading activities in a capital market. With high market efficiency, stock prices in the capital market reflect the information available in the capital market. This study aims to determine how market players perceive the level of capital market efficiency in Indonesia and to determine its effect on the investment performance of capital market players. This study also examines the role of finance in stock investment performance. In addition, perceptions of capital market efficiency can cause behavioral bias in capital market players which can have a positive or negative impact on investment performance. This study used a quantitative approach and uses a questionnaire as a data collection method distributed to 220 students in Indonesia. The sampling method in this study is purposive sampling method. This study used perceptions of market efficiency, financial behavioral bias and investment performance as variables. The analysis technique used in this study is SEM PLS. The results of the study indicated that perceptions of market efficiency have a significant effect on stock investment performance among students. However, financial behavioral bias does not affect stock investment performance among students and financial behavioral bias does not mediate the relationship between perceptions of market efficiency and stock investment performance among students.      

References

Ady, S. U. (2017). Eksplorasi Tingkat Efisiensi Pasar Modal Indonesia Studi Kasus Di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Ekspektra : Jurnal Bisnis Dan Manajemen, 1(2), 103–123. https://doi.org/10.25139/ekt.v0i0.184

Alvian, F. (2023). Gen Z dan Milenial Dominasi Investor Pasar Modal di Indonesia. In Surabayaonline.Co. https://surabayaonline.co/2023/01/26/gen-z-dan-milenial-dominasi-investor-pasar-modal-di-indonesia/

Anarkulova, A., Cederburg, S., & O’Doherty, M. S. (2022). Stocks for the long run? Evidence from a broad sample of developed markets. Journal of Financial Economics, 143(1), 409–433. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.06.040

Assogbavi, T., Osagie, J. E., Frieder, L. A., & Shin, J.-K. (2011). Investment Strategies, Performance, And Trading Information Impact. International Business & Economics Research Journal (IBER), 4(9), 27–36. https://doi.org/10.19030/iber.v4i9.3616

Bakar, S., & Yi, A. N. C. (2016). The Impact of Psychological Factors on Investors’ Decision Making in Malaysian Stock Market: A Case of Klang Valley and Pahang. Procedia Economics and Finance, 35(October 2015), 319–328. https://doi.org/10.1016/s2212-5671(16)00040-x

Baker, H. K. (2021). Financial Behavior. Encyclopedia of Gerontology and Population Aging, 1848–1848. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22009-9_300820

Baker, M., & Wurgler, J. (2006). Investor sentiment and the cross‐section of stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 61(4), 1645–1680. https://doi.org/doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.2006.00885.x

Ding, W., Mazouz, K., & Wang, Q. (2019). Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns: new theory and evidence. In Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting (Vol. 53, Issue 2). Springer US. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-018-0756-z

Estrada, G., Park, D., & Ramayandi, A. (2010). ADB Economics Working Paper Series Financial Development and Economic Growth in Developing Asia. Growth (Lakeland), 233. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1751833

Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383–417. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.2307/2325486

Frijns, B., Koellen, E., & Lehnert, T. (2008). On the determinants of portfolio choice. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 66(2), 373–386. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2006.04.004

Ising, A. (2007). Pompian, M. (2006): Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management – How to Build Optimal Portfolios That Account for Investor Biases. In Financial Markets and Portfolio Management (Vol. 21, Issue 4). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-007-0065-3

Juddoo, K., Malki, I., Mathew, S., & Sivaprasad, S. (2023). An impact investment strategy. In Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting (Vol. 61, Issue 1). Springer US. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-023-01149-0

Kasoga, P. S. (2021). Heuristic biases and investment decisions: multiple mediation mechanisms of risk tolerance and financial literacy—a survey at the Tanzania stock market. Journal of Money and Business, 1(2), 102–116. https://doi.org/10.1108/jmb-10-2021-0037

Koesoemasari, D. S. P., Haryono, T., Trinugroho, I., & Setiawan, D. (2022). Investment Strategy Based on Bias Behavior and Investor Sentiment in Emerging Markets. Etikonomi, 21(1), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.15408/etk.v21i1.22290

Kubilay, B., & Bayrakdaroglu, A. (2016). An Empirical Research on Investor Biases in Financial Decision-Making, Financial Risk Tolerance and Financial Personality. International Journal of Financial Research, 7(2), 171–182. https://doi.org/10.5430/ijfr.v7n2p171

Kumari, S., & Arora, M. (2015). Risk Taking in Financial Decisions as a Function of Age, Gender: Mediating Role of Loss Aversion and Regret. International Journal of Applied Psychology, 5(4), 83–89. https://doi.org/10.5923/j.ijap.20150504.01

Lo, A. (2004). The adaptive market hypothesis: market efficiency from an evolutionary perspective. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 30(5), 15–29.

Mandagie, Y. R. O., Febrianti, M., & Fujianti, L. (2020). Analisis Pengaruh Literasi Keuangan, Pengalaman Investasi dan Toleransi Risiko Terhadap Keputusan Investasi ( Studi Kasus Mahasiswa Akuntansi Universitas Pancasila ). Relevan : Jurnal Riset Akuntansi, 1(1), 35–47.

Nofsinger, J. R. (2016). The Psychology of Investing. In The Psychology of Investing. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315506579

Nuryana, I. (2022). Assessment Of Investment Strategy With A Utility-Based Approach. International Journal of Science, Technology & Management, 3(2), 349–356. https://doi.org/10.46729/ijstm.v3i2.475

Pagano. (1993). Financial Markets and Growth. European Economic Review, 37, 613–622. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781403990105_4

Ramadani, A. G., Tubastuvi, N., Fitriati, A., & Widhiandono, H. (2023). Millennials’ Investment Decision in Capital Market Investment With Financial Behavior as An Intervening Variable. Riset Akuntansi Dan Keuangan Indonesia, 7(3), 355–375. https://doi.org/10.23917/reaksi.v7i3.21650

S. Nagalakshmi. (2019). Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management: How To Build Optimal Portfolios That Account For Investor Bias. In Restaurant Business (Vol. 118, Issue 9, pp. 445–457). https://doi.org/10.26643/rb.v118i9.8651

Sahi, S. K. (2012). Neurofinance and investment behaviour. Studies in Economics and Finance, 29(4), 246–267. https://doi.org/10.1108/10867371211266900

Shefrin, H. (2002). Beyond greed and fear: understanding behavioral finance and the psychology of investing. In Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.5860/choice.37-5212

Statman, M. (1999). Behavioral Finance: Past Battles and Future Engagements. Financial Analysts Journal, 55(6), 18–27. https://doi.org/10.2469/faj.v55.n6.2311

Zahera, S. A., & Bansal, R. (2018). Do investors exhibit behavioral biases in investment decision-making? A systematic review. Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, 10(2), 210–251. https://doi.org/10.1108/QRFM-04-2017-0028

Downloads

Published

2025-08-06